I was flabbergasted by the recent upheavals of Somali politics; today the rift between the fractured parts of the transitional federal government has reached its beak, the stern reactions from the president of Somali Federal Government after he unequivocally announced the removal of the Prime Minister Nur Adde from the office, heralded the beginning of a new round of political squabbling with in the Transitional Federal Government of Somalia.
Nure Ade, handpicked by his former Somali Red Crescent boss, a kin of Abdullahi yusuf, has succeeded Ali Mohamed Gedi, the former prime minister of Somalia. Since he assumed his post he has taken drastic and flexible decisions towards reconciling with the detractors of the government especially the alliance for re-liberation of Somalia, Djibouti wing but his sacking of a close strategic allay of Abdullahi yusuf, the mayor of Mogdisho Mohamed Dhere sparked the outrage of the president and subsequently triggered the resignation of two- third of government ministers.
The row between the top officials of the government has reached the doorsteps of the parliament after it took a circuitous path that started from Mogadishu through Djibouti and Kenya .The president brazenly announced today in a speech he delivered to the members of the parliament that he sacked the prime minister, he accused of the prime minister that he consecutively violated the provisions of the TNG charter and failed to run effectively the different bodies of the government since its inception in November 2007, but the supporters of the prime minister argue that such failure can not be attributed merely to the prime ministers, to get a viable and functioning government to Somalia is a collective responsibility of the members of the government, the president has his share on this failure because of his overt reluctance to take decisions that could lead to a genuine reconciliation.
1n 2006 after the removal of Islamic courts union regime, Abdullahi yusuf did not try to muster the support of the dominant clan in Mogadishu in a bid to heal the wounds of the past intrigues, he plundered after he waged suppressive actions, he paid no effort to dismiss the trepidation that most of Hawiye clan members had about his intentions to massacre them on the hands of Ethiopian forces in retaliation for what happened 1991.
The notion that many members of Hawiye clan had about Abdullahi, has been reflected by the political and military decisions of the president since he arrived in Mogadishu, he nominated all important police and military posts to members of his lineage like the commissioner of national security NS, the deputy commissioner of the police force, this unbalanced nominations spurred many Hawiye politicians to confront with Abdullahi yusuf and join the opposition to sabotage his rule.Abdullahi yusuf also accused Nure Ade of treason, but many observers ask the question who committed treason Abdullahi Yusuf or Nur Adde?, who invited the archenemy of Somalia to infiltrate the country and blatantly ordered the killing of the innocent civilians in Mogadishu and its suburbs?.
President Yusuf said that his decision to discharge the prime minister is in accordance with the constitution of the country agreed by the all political parts during the peace process held in Kenya 2002-2004, especially the provisions of the article 11(8,9,10), so let us shed light on what does article 11 and clauses 8,9,10 say;
8. The Transitional Federal Government shall ensure that the process of Federating Somalia shall take place within a period of two and a half years from the date that the commission is established.
9. In the event that the Transitional Federal Government is unable to complete the process of federalism all over Somalia within the prescribed period of two and half years, the Government shall request Parliament for a vote of confidence, failing which the Transitional Federal Parliament shall withdraw its support and a new Transitional Federal Government shall be formed in the manner set out in this charter.
10. The new Transitional Federal Government formed under Clause (8) herein shall undertake to complete the process of federalism all over Somalia within a period of one (1) year failing which the provisions of article 11(8) above shall apply.
As mentioned in article 11 and clauses 8, 9,10 if the government led by Nur Adde fails to complete the federalism with in the (1) year time frame stipulated on article 11(10) , the existence of the government will end but the question is will the government and its prime minister be discharged automatically after the end of the year or the government will ask the parliament a vote of confidence and subsequently be dissolved if it fails?. Nur Ade argues that the I year period starts from 15 January 2008 not November 2007 as the president said but if he agrees that the period of his government expires automatically either November 2008 or January 2009, it will be less complicated than if he asserts that the mandate of this government should end only if the members of the parliament vote against it.
According to the credo and canon of the president and his camp, they deem necessary to confront with any group that they see is potential threat to their interests with any price but the threat that Nuradde and his supports with in the government pose to the president seems to be more real and could put and end to the presidency of Abdullah Yusuf because of the following:-
1. Nur adde’s camp are more inclined to the peace process, they pay more effort to gather international and regional support to put the outcome of Djabouti conference in to action, and in contrast Abdullahi yusuf is not in favor of Djabuti peace process and he sees that conference is between Hawiye clan regardless of the political entity they belong, Abdulah yusuf also sees that the additional 275 member to be added to the current parliament is against 4.5 power sharing Formula agreed on Kenya peace processes 2004 because majority of additional members will come from one clan but under different political functions .
2. Abdullah sees that if Nur Adde maintains to be on the helm of the government, members of the parliament who support him could put forward a motion against the president that could put on jeopardy his presidency since he does not have the unwavering support of the Ethiopian government that he sustained for the last 4 years. So he took this decision to uproot the upcoming threat that Nure Adde and his camp pose to him.
Nur Adde undiplomatically responded to the president by saying “the president blatantly violated the provisions of the transitional federal government constitution after he dismissed me as the prime minister of Somalia, to take actions against the president’s act is on the shoulders of parliament but I insist that he can not dismiss, he is lying and the articles of the constitution he revealed are not relevant” . For this showdown, the credibility of the top officials of the government has been lost on the eyes of both Somalis and the international community but I think that the one who has the full support of Ethiopian government will win this round. It could be Abdullahi or Nur Adde
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